Nazaj v realnost:
The problem for Israel now is that there is no outcome in which they are not the losers in some way.
Their preferred method has always been to drive out rather than massacre the entire population of Palestinians, though they were not averse to a few massacres to get the people moving when driving them out. The trouble is, that doesn't work anymore, for various reasons, especially because of the hardening of the Palestinians intent to stay.
Now with Gaza, with their theoretically vastly superior military force, in theory they can either 1). conquer the Gazans and put them under renewed occupation, which was already long tried and failed, especially because it cost too much, 2). drive them into Egypt's Sinai, where they then lose control over them, or 3) exterminate them completely. Not one of these will be easy to achieve. It still remains to be seen if they can even physically retake Gaza, despite Gaza's tininess.
Al-Sisi said that driving the Gazans into Egypt would constitute an act of war against Egypt by Israel, so that is a big loss to Israel right there. The Arab states cannot tolerate Israel invading Sinai for a fourth time. All the Egyptian people are completely opposed to receiving the Gazans into Sinai, let alone the rest of Egypt. It is not just al-Sisi, but also the entire military establishment, the religious establishments, the economic establishment, and all the rest of the people right down to the commoners. The only thing that al-Sadat got out of Israel in making peace was the return of Sinai. Egypt fought tooth and nail to restore the border of 1906, even taking Israel to the International Court to get back one square kilometer at Taba where Israelis had a hotel, even that went back to Egypt. Egyptians were filled with wrath at al-Sisi for conceding the two disputed, uninhabited islands of Tiran and Sanafir to Saudi Arabia. By nationalist logic, the very same logic the Zionists are using, no inch of national territory can ever be given up, and Egyptians certainly subscribe to that, especially over Sinai.
Israel has suffered a massive, cataclysmic moral defeat over Gaza, and it will get worse and worse the deeper they dig themselves in. By their own logic, they have to reestablish unquestioned, unassailable military superiority, but if they can even do that in this case, the cost is going to be way higher than any previous costs they have endured. The puny little territory of Gaza would be an entirely insufficient gain for them, in no way compensating for their real loss here, which is not of course merely the Israeli dead and wounded. The Israeli establishment, the right wing, and maybe the Israelis mostly in general are so filled with rage over the Gaza affair that they can't even think straight, so they just default back to tit-for-tat, knee-jerk reaction, which won't get them anywhere. Meanwhile, one of the greatest massacres since the Second World War (by no means the only one, nor even necessarily the biggest), may be about to unfold.
The mostly costly aspects of all are likely to be changed and hardened attitudes worldwide not just against Israel but also against the United States and its relentless, murderous imperialism. The threat of this change is already causing the US government and its various clients to backpedal on their initial bloodthirsty responses, but that precipitates them into a huge dilemma of contradiction that is going probably to damage them further, and maybe if they double down even presage the unfolding of the big one, the meltdown of empire and capitalism that we all always talk about. So they are surely very afraid here.
O Sinaju:
Have a look at a satellite map of the Sinai. It's desert. Two million refugees in that area would have to be supplied with food and water, forever. Picture hundreds of trucks delivering food and water, day after day after day. I'm sure Sisi knows that once the Gazans were shipped to the Sinai, they would be a huge economic burden. Egypt might receive Western aid to help but that could end once the world's gaze turned elsewhere, or be used as leverage against Egypt ad infinitum.
And that's assuming the refugees wouldn't get sick of living in tents in baking heat, and headed for Cairo. What would Egypt do then? Accepting the Gazans would be political suicide for Sisi, and he knows it.
The whole idea of "Gaza on the Sinai" is just some Zionist pipe-dream whereby the Gazans die off in the desert instead of being wiped out by IDF bombs. It's just attempted genocide at arm's length.